THE VIDEO SHELF · regression to the mean
How We’re Fooled By Statistics
A short Veritasium video explaining regression to the mean and how ignoring it leads to wrong conclusions about punishment versus reward, medical treatments and sports streaks. It uses the example of flight instructors who believed criticism works better than praise.
Why HN readers recommended it
HN commenters link it as the clearest short explanation of regression to the mean, especially for how it misleads people about feedback and statistics.
This is a summary from the source dataset, not an endorsement by Hacker News or the video creator.
Video & recommendation details
- Creator / channel
- Veritasium
- Topic
- regression to the mean
- Format
- explainer
- Level
- general
- HN recommenders in dataset
- 3
- HN mentions in dataset
- 4
- Recommendation years in dataset
- 2014–2025
These counts and years describe the included Hacker News records; they are not YouTube views or the video’s publication date.
From the original HN conversations
Excerpts from the recorded comments. Follow each source for the full comment and surrounding discussion.
Or perhaps it's just the old phrase "Lies, damned lies, and statistics" that is appropriate once again? Veritasium explains it better than me. Please watch [VIDEO]
np422 on Hacker News · 2015-03
In Speed Cameras and the City>Recognizing people's successes and what they are doing well is a 1000% more effective than harping on what people have messed up Yes, this is (verifiably) true. One must be aware, however, that positive feedback is usually going to be ineffective, thanks to natural "regression …
javajosh on Hacker News · 2014-08
In Set Up to Fail: How Bosses Create Their Own Poor Performers (1998) [pdf]> results are so obviously and immediately measurable Ehm… not really – especially not the "obviously" part :) Controlled or even abusive coaching can sometimes lead to better short-term results, but often at the cost of athletes’ mental health and long-term performance. What’s worse, coaching …
divan on Hacker News · 2025-04
In How to win an argument with a toddler
Summaries, classifications and recommendation records are from the HackerTube source dataset. Read about this library and its limitations.